Feb
22
Guest Post from Puck:
People keep asking if we know whether we are having boys or girls. The ultrasounds have not told us anything yet but as an engineer I feel the need to provide an answer.
After careful observation, I can state:
- There is a 75% chance that we will have a boy.
- There is a 75% chance that we will have a girl.
- There is a 50% chance we will have both a boy and a girl.
This may seem weird at first glance but bear with me as I walk through the probability math.
What we know:
Like any scary math problem we should start with the information we know:
- There are two babies in there. (We know because we checked.)
- Each child has a 50-50 chance of being a boy or a girl.
Possible Outcomes
That gives us 4 possible outcomes each equally probable:
- 25% – Twin A is a boy, Twin B is a boy (Upper left corner)
- 25% – Twin A is a boy, Twin B is a girl (Lower left corner)
- 25% – Twin A is a girl, Twin B is a boy (Upper right corner)
- 25% – Twin A is a girl, Twin B is a girl (Lower right corner)
Three cases includes a boy and three cases include a girl.
Conclusion:
Therefore:
- In 3 out of 4 cases (75%) we have a boy.
- In 3 out of 4 cases (75%) we have a girl.
Another interesting fact:
- Half the time the Twins are the same gender.
- Half the time the Twins are of different gender.
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